How price behaves after the opening range

Futures like NQ (Nasdaq-100), GC (gold) and BTC (bitcoin) trade on one central, regulated exchange with a single consolidated price feed — and every broker's cash index or CFD is derived from exactly that future. Building the statistics on the futures gives one clean, consistent dataset that isn't distorted by an individual broker's spread, feed or session quirks. Because every figure here is a ratio (range vs ADR, moves in SD), it is price-scale-agnostic and carries straight over to the matching CFD.

Yes. The cash index or CFD your broker offers (for example US100 / NAS100, XAUUSD or BTCUSD) tracks the underlying future very closely during the cash session, so the opening-range behaviour is effectively the same. Two things to keep in mind: your broker's spread, commission and exact quote times differ slightly from the futures, and you must still measure the opening range at 09:30–09:45 New York time. Always back-test on your own broker's symbol before trading it live.

Prices are one-minute bars from Databento (CME/COMEX GLBX.MDP3, front-month contract); macro-news dates come from the US Federal Reserve and FRED. Nothing is logged or hand-picked by eye. The whole dataset is recomputed from fresh market data automatically once a week.

NQ (Nasdaq-100), ES (S&P 500), GC (gold), CL (crude oil) and 6B (British pound) reach back to mid-2010, and BTC (bitcoin) to its CME launch in December 2017 — several thousand trading days each. The time-horizon control lets you narrow that to any recent window, right down to the last month.

All times are computed in US Eastern time and then relabelled into the timezone you choose at the top of the filters. The US and Europe switch between summer and winter time (daylight saving) on different dates — roughly two weeks apart each spring and autumn — so during those short windows the New York open lands an hour earlier or later on your local clock than usual (for example 15:30 vs 14:30 Berlin time). The opening range is always anchored to the real market open; only the clock label moves. Keep this in mind when reading the timing charts around late March and late October / early November.

The first 5-minute candle that closes outside the opening range (measured from the 09:30 ET cash open over your chosen OR duration) — not a wick that pokes through. Its direction sets the trade. Around 99.9% of days break on this basis, which is why a plain "break rate" isn't shown.

One SD is one full opening-range width, measured from the broken edge. It is the natural unit of risk: entering at the break with a stop at the opposite edge risks about 1 SD, so targets, drawdown and the equity curves are all expressed in SD / R multiples — comparable across instruments no matter their price.

No — they are a simplified simulation: enter at the trigger candle's close, stop at the opposite edge, exit at your chosen SD target or the cash close, with no spread, commission or slippage. They exist to compare how conditions change the outcome, not as a live track record.

Any bucket with fewer than five days is hidden, because a single day showing 100% is noise, not a statistic. Widen your filters or the time horizon to bring small buckets back.

NQ (Nasdaq-100) is completely free. ES (S&P 500), GC (gold), CL (crude oil), BTC (bitcoin) and 6B (British pound) are premium. You pick any 2 premium symbols as a bundle, or get all-access to every current and future symbol for less than the bundles add up to.

Click any locked symbol to open the subscribe panel, choose your 2 symbols (or all-access), and check out. After paying, log in with the same email and the symbols unlock — their full history loads just like NQ. To change which symbols are in your bundle later, just cancel your current subscription from “Manage subscription” and subscribe again with the symbols you want — it only takes a moment.

The smallest plan is a 2-symbol bundle because the card-processing fees on a single low-priced subscription eat up too much of it to be worthwhile. Bundling two symbols spreads that fixed fee across a larger amount, which keeps the per-symbol price fair for you and sustainable for us.

There are no passwords. Enter your email in the “Log in” box at the top of the page and we email you a one-click magic link. Clicking it signs you in for 90 days on that browser, so an active subscriber rarely has to log in again. Your access is tied to your email, so use the same address you subscribed with.

No — your price is locked for life. As new symbols and features are added the list price will rise, but as long as your subscription stays active you keep the price you signed up at. Lock in early and you are grandfathered in.

Use “Manage subscription” at the top of the page once logged in — it opens the secure billing portal where you can update payment details or cancel. Billing is monthly and you can cancel anytime; access runs to the end of the paid period.

There is a step-by-step guided tour of every control on this page — picking a market, setting the session and opening range, filtering to your conditions, choosing the trade type, reading the outcome panels and building an equity curve.

Yes. The free ORB Dashboard v2 TradingView indicator (by Czernio) draws the opening range, an ATR read, Bollinger-Band trend and a news table in real time, so you can spot the same conditions live. There is a short guide on setting it up.

Yes. The ORB Revolution EA trades the opening-range breakout for you inside MetaTrader 5, applying the rules automatically.

Yes — more symbols (more FX pairs, FDAX, YM, Russell and others) and new features (correlation insights, and later a premium tier with a live market-condition filter) are planned. Click “More coming soon” in the instrument row to see the full roadmap.

Every bigger update is logged with a version number and grouped into new features, bug fixes and quality-of-life improvements, newest first.

Yes. Reach out with your idea and if I consider it at least worth testing, I will build it and run my own checks. Several of the filters and panels here started as user requests, so every promising idea gets a fair shot — not all of them make it in, but each one is genuinely considered. Contact me here:

No. Everything here is historical market-behaviour data for education only. Past behaviour is not a prediction of the future, and trading financial instruments carries substantial risk.